Thursday, February 2, 2012

hOYa Vay! Georgetown 58- UConn 44

There are no words to describe how horrific the UConn Huskies looked as they registered their second lowest point total (42 in 1998 was their lowest) in their 58-44 loss to the Georgetown Hoyas last night. The Huskies shot 30% from the floor and after scoring 13 points in the first 31/2 minutes of the games they scored just 31 points in the last 261/2 minutes of the contest.

Prior to the game Calhoun announced that Oriakhi and Napier were being removed from the starting line up in favor of Boatright and Roscoe Smith in an attempt to speed up the tempo on offense. In the first 31/2 minutes Calhoun's strategy seemed prescient as the Huskies jumped out to the lead, looked good in transition, and Boatright made three beautiful feeds to Andre Drummond including an alley oop. Unfortuneately, Boatright picked up his second foul about 7 minutes in and as is Calhoun policy sat out the remainder of the half so as not to pick up his third personal. When Napier took over at point the transition game disappeared and the Huskies reverted to their stand around half court offense with the guards firing up bricks. Napier was 0-9 from the floor and finished with 1 point and Lamb was 4-18 and finished with 14. Once again, aside from Drummond, who had another impressive game, with 18 points on 9-12 shooting the remainder of the front court contributed only 9 points and stood around on offense.
When boatright went in to start the second half the Huskies had lost their spark and even the talented Freshman point guard could reignite them. I must say that in my 25 years as a UConnmen's basketball fan I have never felt sicker than I did after this display. Even the ever positive Dick Vitale expressed disgust at the Huskies lack of motion on offense.
So, what gives? In my mind there is a worst case scenario and a best case scenario. In either case, there are two conclusions that to me are incontrovertible. Roscoe Smith cannot and will never be able to shoot. Alex Oriakhi, although playing without any confidence right now, has no touch around the hoop. He has always missed too many chippies and it is accentuated this year because the rest of his game has fallen apart.
Worst Case Scenario - Simply put this teams potential was highly over rated and we were all fooled by their cupcake non-conference schedule. Smith and Oriakhi have little upside, Lamb cannot make the jump to go to guy and the Huskies will finish below .500 in the Big East and are bound for the NIT not the Big Dance.
Best Case Scenario- This young team is taking longer than expected to gel because of two disruptive influences. First, the 6 and 3 game suspensions of Ryan Boatright have delayed integrating him effectively into the line up and the other key players have been slow to adjust to his presence. Second, the addition of the highly talented Andre Drummond and Boatright have changed Oriakhi's role and reduced his minutes. He was expected to improve on last years 11ppg and 11rpg but instead has lost all his confidence and regressed. If he can regain some confidence he can at least become the effective rebounder that he was last year. Smith's role has also been reduced and he is lost but will also improve to provide the effective defense and defensive rebounding that he did last year.
Although Jeremy Lamb has been slow to become the "go to" guy he is only a Sophomore and remember Walker did not become dominant until his Junior year. Perhaps Lamb will grow into this role as the season progresses. Napier, confidence shook will regain his shooting touch and continue to add 12-13ppg. Now that Boatright is back, he will take over at the point and get the transition game going again. He is a great penetrator and passer and when he shakes the rust will score 10-12 ppg. Giffey will shoot more and score 8-10ppg.
Calhoun will realize that his best starting line up will be Lamb and Boatright at guard and Drummond, Giffey and ty Olander up front. To me, using Olander more is pivotal. He is a great interior passer and always looks inside when he gets the ball encouraging the other big men to get more active..When Olander is out the Huskies tend to stand around and watch the Guards dribble and shoot. If all these things happen the Huskies will finish a game or two above .500 and go the Big Dance. I don't see them advancing past the second round but who knows.
Which scenario will we see? that's why they play the games.
"You heard it here First"
Steve

2 comments:

  1. Well I said it before & I'll say it again, you can't win in the Big East scoring in the 60's to say nothing about the 50's & now the 40's. I really am disappointed with Calhoun however. I couldn't believe his lack of attention & support at Sunday's game & his announcement today before the game about replacing Napier & Oriaki with Boatright & Smith showed little support or enthusiasm for them.

    However, most disappointing is that Dr Steve Eliot is abandoning his patients at their most needy time. The best & worst case senarios for a true fan would be to cancel his pleasure trip during these times(best senario) or at least watch & report on the games using one of the many web sites available(worst senario).

    Shame shame shame!!!

    But have a good vacation antway.

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  2. hope you're having a good vacation!

    it's been tough watching the games, losing 5 of the last 6. i really thought they were going to take louisville and turn their season around. unfortunately lamb as you mention is not being able to produce like he did earlier in the season and not able to fill kemba's shoes. the road doesn't get any easier with 2 games with syracuse.

    hopefully this will show lamb and drummond that they need another year to develop and come back next year stronger.

    let's hope calhoun comes back healthy

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